Analysis of Potential Republican Nominees for West Virginia Senate Race in 2024

West Virginia’s upcoming Senate race is heating up as Republican candidates Gov. Jim Justice and Rep. Alex Mooney vie for the nomination to replace Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin. While Justice may be the frontrunner, internal memos reveal that Mooney’s chances improve once voters learn more about him and Justice.

A recent survey of likely Republican Primary voters in West Virginia showed that while Justice currently leads the race, there is a clear pathway to victory for Mooney. The memo highlights Mooney’s strong support for President Trump, which gives him a lead over Justice in a head-to-head matchup.

Voters are less likely to support Justice when they hear about his record, including his support for special rights for transgender individuals and his alignment with President Biden on major spending packages. Additionally, Justice has faced financial concerns and legal battles, which have raised questions about his leadership.

On the other hand, Mooney’s support for finishing Trump’s border wall, stopping election fraud, and his high rating from the NRA have resonated with voters. Positive messaging about Mooney has narrowed the gap between him and Justice in the polls.

Despite Justice’s polling advantage, Mooney has strengths in fundraising and has garnered endorsements from prominent Republicans at both the state and federal levels. The Club for Growth has pledged significant financial support to help elect Mooney to the U.S. Senate.

Mooney has a track record of overcoming tough odds, as seen in his victory over former Rep. David McKinley in a previous primary race. The upcoming Senate race in West Virginia is expected to lean Republican, making the nomination crucial for determining the state’s next senator.

Overall, the race between Justice and Mooney is shaping up to be a competitive and closely watched contest as they vie for the Republican nomination in West Virginia’s Senate race.